Hypothesis Testing

using computer simulation. Based on examples from the infer package. Code for Quiz 13.

Load the R package we will use.

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Question 1: T-Test

Make sure you have installed and loaded the tidyverse, infer, and skimr packages

Fill in the blanks

Put the command you use in the Rchunks in your Rmd file for this quiz.

The data this quiz is a subset of HR

Look at the variable definitions Note that the variables evaluation and salary have been recoded to be represented as words instead of numbers Set random seed generator to 123

set.seed(123)

hr_2_tidy.csv is the name of your data subset

Read it into and assign to hr

Note: col_types = “fddfff” defines the column types factor-double-double-factor-factor-factor

hr  <- read_csv("https://estanny.com/static/week13/data/hr_2_tidy.csv",
                col_types = "fddfff") 

use the skim to summarize the data in hr

skim(hr)
Table 1: Data summary
Name hr
Number of rows 500
Number of columns 6
_______________________
Column type frequency:
factor 4
numeric 2
________________________
Group variables None

Variable type: factor

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate ordered n_unique top_counts
gender 0 1 FALSE 2 mal: 256, fem: 244
evaluation 0 1 FALSE 4 bad: 154, fai: 142, goo: 108, ver: 96
salary 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 95, lev: 94, lev: 87, lev: 85
status 0 1 FALSE 3 fir: 194, pro: 179, ok: 127

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
age 0 1 39.86 11.55 20.3 29.60 40.2 50.1 59.9 ▇▇▇▇▇
hours 0 1 49.39 13.15 35.0 37.48 45.6 58.9 79.9 ▇▃▂▂▂

The mean hours worked per week is: 49.4

specify that hours is the variable of interest

hr  %>% 
  skim(response = hours)
Table 2: Data summary
Name Piped data
Number of rows 500
Number of columns 6
_______________________
Column type frequency:
numeric 1
________________________
Group variables None

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
hours 0 1 49.39 13.15 35 37.48 45.6 58.9 79.9 ▇▃▂▂▂

hypothesize that the average hours worked is 48

hr %>%
  specify(response = hours)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48)
Response: hours (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 500 x 1
   hours
   <dbl>
 1  78.1
 2  35.1
 3  36.9
 4  38.5
 5  36.1
 6  78.1
 7  76  
 8  35.6
 9  35.6
10  56.8
# ... with 490 more rows

generate 1000 replicates representing the null hypothesis

hr %>% 
  specify(response = hours)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48)  %>%
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "bootstrap")
Response: hours (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 500,000 x 2
# Groups:   replicate [1,000]
   replicate hours
       <int> <dbl>
 1         1  39.7
 2         1  44.3
 3         1  46.8
 4         1  33.7
 5         1  39.6
 6         1  39.5
 7         1  40.5
 8         1  55.8
 9         1  72.6
10         1  35.7
# ... with 499,990 more rows

The output has 500,000 rows.


calculate the distribution of statistics from the generated data

Assign the output null_t_distribution

Display null_t_distribution

null_t_distribution <- hr  %>% 
  specify(response = age)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48)  %>% 
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "bootstrap")  %>%
  calculate(stat = "t")
  null_t_distribution
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
   replicate     stat
 *     <int>    <dbl>
 1         1  0.144  
 2         2 -1.72   
 3         3  0.404  
 4         4 -1.11   
 5         5  0.00894
 6         6  1.46   
 7         7 -0.905  
 8         8 -0.663  
 9         9  0.291  
10        10  3.09   
# ... with 990 more rows

null_t_distribution has 1,000 t-stats


visualize the simulated null distribution

visualize(null_t_distribution)


calculate the statistic from your observed data

Assign the output observed_t_statistic

Display observed_t_statistic

observed_t_statistic <- hr  %>%
  specify(response = hours)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48)  %>%
  calculate(stat = "t")

observed_t_statistic
# A tibble: 1 x 1
   stat
  <dbl>
1  2.37

get_p_value from the simulated null distribution and the observed statistic

null_t_distribution  %>% 
  get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_statistic, direction = "two-sided")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
  p_value
    <dbl>
1   0.014

shade_p_value on the simulated null distribution

null_t_distribution  %>% 
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_statistic, direction = "two-sided")


If the p-value < 0.05? YES

Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true mean number of hours worked was 48? NO


Question 2: Sample T-test

Make sure you have installed and loaded the tidyverse, infer, and skimr packages

Fill in the blanks

Put the command you use in the Rchunks in your Rmd file for this quiz.

The data this quiz is a subset of HR

Look at the variable definitions Note that the variables evaluation and salary have been recoded to be represented as words instead of numbers

-hr_1_tidy.csv is the name of your data subset

Read it into and assign to hr_2

Note: col_types = “fddfff” defines the column types factor-double-double-factor-factor-factor

hr_2 <- read_csv("https://estanny.com/static/week13/data/hr_1_tidy.csv",
                  col_types = "fddfff") 

Q: Is the average number of hours worked the same for both genders in hr_2?

use skim to summarize the data in hr_2 by gender

hr_2 %>% 
  group_by(gender)%>%
  skim()
Table 3: Data summary
Name Piped data
Number of rows 500
Number of columns 6
_______________________
Column type frequency:
factor 3
numeric 2
________________________
Group variables gender

Variable type: factor

skim_variable gender n_missing complete_rate ordered n_unique top_counts
evaluation female 0 1 FALSE 4 fai: 81, bad: 71, ver: 57, goo: 51
evaluation male 0 1 FALSE 4 bad: 82, fai: 61, goo: 55, ver: 42
salary female 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 54, lev: 50, lev: 44, lev: 41
salary male 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 52, lev: 47, lev: 46, lev: 39
status female 0 1 FALSE 3 fir: 96, pro: 87, ok: 77
status male 0 1 FALSE 3 fir: 89, ok: 76, pro: 75

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable gender n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
age female 0 1 41.78 11.50 20.5 32.15 42.35 51.62 59.9 ▆▅▇▆▇
age male 0 1 39.32 11.55 20.2 28.70 38.55 49.52 59.7 ▇▇▆▇▆
hours female 0 1 50.32 13.23 35.0 38.38 47.80 60.40 79.7 ▇▃▃▂▂
hours male 0 1 48.24 12.95 35.0 37.00 42.40 57.00 78.1 ▇▂▂▁▂

Females worked an average of 50.3 hours per week.

Males worked an average of 48.2 hours per week.


Use geom_boxplot to plot distributions of hours worked by gender

hr_2 %>% 
  ggplot(aes(x = gender, y = hours)) + 
  geom_boxplot()


specify the variables of interest are hours and gender

hr_2 %>%
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender)
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
# A tibble: 500 x 2
   hours gender
   <dbl> <fct> 
 1  36.5 female
 2  55.8 female
 3  35   male  
 4  52   female
 5  35.1 male  
 6  36.3 female
 7  40.1 female
 8  42.7 female
 9  66.6 male  
10  35.5 male  
# ... with 490 more rows

hypothesize that the number of hours worked and gender are independent

hr_2 %>%
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender) %>%
  hypothesize(null = "independence")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500 x 2
   hours gender
   <dbl> <fct> 
 1  36.5 female
 2  55.8 female
 3  35   male  
 4  52   female
 5  35.1 male  
 6  36.3 female
 7  40.1 female
 8  42.7 female
 9  66.6 male  
10  35.5 male  
# ... with 490 more rows

generate 1000 replicates representing the null hypothesis

hr_2 %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "independence")  %>%
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500,000 x 3
# Groups:   replicate [1,000]
   hours gender replicate
   <dbl> <fct>      <int>
 1  36.4 female         1
 2  35.8 female         1
 3  35.6 male           1
 4  39.6 female         1
 5  35.8 male           1
 6  55.8 female         1
 7  63.8 female         1
 8  40.3 female         1
 9  56.5 male           1
10  50.1 male           1
# ... with 499,990 more rows

The output has 500,000 rows.


calculate the distribution of statistics from the generated data

null_distribution_2_sample_permute <- hr_2 %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "independence")  %>% 
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute")  %>% 
  calculate(stat = "t", order = c("female", "male"))
null_distribution_2_sample_permute
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
   replicate   stat
 *     <int>  <dbl>
 1         1 -0.208
 2         2 -0.328
 3         3 -2.28 
 4         4  0.528
 5         5  1.60 
 6         6  0.795
 7         7  1.24 
 8         8 -3.31 
 9         9  0.517
10        10  0.949
# ... with 990 more rows

null_t_distribution has 1,000 t-stats.


visualise(null_distribution_2_sample_permute)


calculate the statistic from your observed data

Assign the output observed_t_2_sample_stat

Display observed_t_2_sample_stat

observed_t_2_sample_stat <- hr_2 %>%
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender)  %>% 
  calculate(stat = "t", order = c("female", "male"))
observed_t_2_sample_stat
# A tibble: 1 x 1
   stat
  <dbl>
1  1.78

get_p_value from the simulated null distribution and the observed statistic

null_t_distribution  %>% 
  get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_2_sample_stat, direction = "two-sided")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
  p_value
    <dbl>
1   0.086

shade_p_value on the simulated null distribution

null_t_distribution  %>% 
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_2_sample_stat, direction = "two-sided")

If the p-value < 0.05? NO

Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true mean number of hours worked by female and male employees was the same? YES


Question 3: anova

Make sure you have installed and loaded the tidyverse, infer, and skimr packages

Fill in the blanks

Put the command you use in the Rchunks in your Rmd file for this quiz.

The data this quiz is a subset of HR

Look at the variable definitions Note that the variables evaluation and salary have been recoded to be represented as words instead of numbers hr_1_tidy.csv is the name of your data subset

Read it into and assign to hr_anova

Note: col_types = “fddfff” defines the column types factor-double-double-factor-factor-factor

hr_anova <- read_csv("https://estanny.com/static/week13/data/hr_1_tidy.csv", 
                col_types = "fddfff") 

Q: Is the average number of hours worked the same for all three status (fired, ok and promoted) ?

use skim to summarize the data in hr_anova by status

hr_anova %>%
   group_by(status)%>%
  skim()
Table 4: Data summary
Name Piped data
Number of rows 500
Number of columns 6
_______________________
Column type frequency:
factor 3
numeric 2
________________________
Group variables status

Variable type: factor

skim_variable status n_missing complete_rate ordered n_unique top_counts
gender fired 0 1 FALSE 2 fem: 96, mal: 89
gender ok 0 1 FALSE 2 fem: 77, mal: 76
gender promoted 0 1 FALSE 2 fem: 87, mal: 75
evaluation fired 0 1 FALSE 4 bad: 65, fai: 63, goo: 31, ver: 26
evaluation ok 0 1 FALSE 4 bad: 69, fai: 59, goo: 15, ver: 10
evaluation promoted 0 1 FALSE 4 ver: 63, goo: 60, fai: 20, bad: 19
salary fired 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 41, lev: 37, lev: 32, lev: 32
salary ok 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 40, lev: 37, lev: 29, lev: 23
salary promoted 0 1 FALSE 6 lev: 37, lev: 35, lev: 29, lev: 23

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable status n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
age fired 0 1 38.64 11.43 20.2 28.30 38.30 47.60 59.6 ▇▇▇▅▆
age ok 0 1 41.34 12.11 20.3 31.00 42.10 51.70 59.9 ▆▆▆▆▇
age promoted 0 1 42.13 10.98 21.0 33.40 42.95 50.98 59.9 ▆▅▆▇▇
hours fired 0 1 41.67 7.88 35.0 36.10 38.90 43.90 75.5 ▇▂▁▁▁
hours ok 0 1 48.05 11.65 35.0 37.70 45.60 56.10 78.2 ▇▃▃▂▁
hours promoted 0 1 59.27 12.90 35.0 51.12 60.10 70.15 79.7 ▆▅▇▇▇

Employees that were fired worked an average of 41.7 hours per week.

Employees that were ok worked an average of 48.0 hours per week.

Employees that were promoted worked an average of 59.3 hours per week.


Use geom_boxplot to plot distributions of hours worked by status

hr_anova %>% 
  ggplot(aes(x = status,  y = hours)) + 
  geom_boxplot()


specify the variables of interest are hours and status

hr_anova %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = status)
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
# A tibble: 500 x 2
   hours status  
   <dbl> <fct>   
 1  36.5 fired   
 2  55.8 ok      
 3  35   fired   
 4  52   promoted
 5  35.1 ok      
 6  36.3 ok      
 7  40.1 promoted
 8  42.7 fired   
 9  66.6 promoted
10  35.5 ok      
# ... with 490 more rows

hypothesize that the number of hours worked and status are independent

hr_anova %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = status) %>%
  hypothesize(null = "independence")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500 x 2
   hours status  
   <dbl> <fct>   
 1  36.5 fired   
 2  55.8 ok      
 3  35   fired   
 4  52   promoted
 5  35.1 ok      
 6  36.3 ok      
 7  40.1 promoted
 8  42.7 fired   
 9  66.6 promoted
10  35.5 ok      
# ... with 490 more rows

generate 1000 replicates representing the null hypothesis

hr_anova %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = status)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "independence")  %>% 
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute") 
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500,000 x 3
# Groups:   replicate [1,000]
   hours status   replicate
   <dbl> <fct>        <int>
 1  40.3 fired            1
 2  40.3 ok               1
 3  37.3 fired            1
 4  50.5 promoted         1
 5  35.1 ok               1
 6  67.8 ok               1
 7  39.3 promoted         1
 8  35.7 fired            1
 9  40.2 promoted         1
10  38.4 ok               1
# ... with 499,990 more rows

The output has 500,000 rows.


calculate the distribution of statistics from the generated data

Assign the output null_distribution_anova

Display null_distribution_anova

null_distribution_anova  <- hr_anova %>% 
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender)  %>% 
  hypothesize(null = "independence")  %>% 
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute")  %>% 
  calculate(stat = "F")
null_distribution_anova
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
   replicate   stat
 *     <int>  <dbl>
 1         1 0.365 
 2         2 0.650 
 3         3 0.185 
 4         4 0.0184
 5         5 0.163 
 6         6 0.0194
 7         7 4.92  
 8         8 2.11  
 9         9 0.341 
10        10 0.855 
# ... with 990 more rows

null_distribution_anova has 1,000 rows.


visualize the simulated null distribution

visualise(null_distribution_anova)


calculate the statistic from your observed data

Assign the output observed_f_sample_stat

Display observed_f_sample_stat

observed_f_sample_stat <- hr_anova %>%
  specify(response = hours, explanatory = status)  %>% 
  calculate(stat = "F")
observed_f_sample_stat
# A tibble: 1 x 1
   stat
  <dbl>
1  115.

get_p_value from the simulated null distribution and the observed statistic

null_distribution_anova  %>% 
  get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_f_sample_stat, direction = "greater")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
  p_value
    <dbl>
1       0

shade_p_value on the simulated null distribution

null_t_distribution  %>% 
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_f_sample_stat, direction = "greater")

If the p-value < 0.05? YES

Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true means of the number of hours worked for those that were “fired”, “ok” and “promoted” were the same? NO